New England Aftershock Probabilities

This forecast is based on the statistics of aftershocks typical for New England.
This is not an exact prediction, but only a rough guide to expected aftershock activity.
This forecast may be revised as more information becomes available.
 

 

12/03/2015 Aftershock Probabilities

Aftershock Forecast was computed on: Friday, December 4, 2015 4:49 PM EST

Mainshock:  Thursday, December 3, 2015 7:12 PM EST, Magnitude 3.0
MA, 10.0KM (6.2 miles) SE OF WESTON, MA

Probability that this event is a foreshock and there will be an earthquake one unit of magnitude or greater in the next 30 days:

5%

Probability that this event is a mainshock and will be followed by one or more aftershocks of any magnitude in the next 7 days:

22%

Probability that this event is a mainshock and will followed by (one or more) aftershocks of magnitude 2.0 or greater:

20%